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Stadium Background

Damac vs Al Taawon

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Damac Logo

Damac

0 - 3
FT
Al Taawon Logo

Al Taawon

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hamdallah A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Al Obaid A. In: Al Hassan J.
Out: Al Obaid A.
55' Event
Al Tulayhi R.
Assist: Hamdallah A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Damac
35%
Draws
13%
Al Taawon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Damac come out ahead of Al Taawon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Damac a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Damac have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Taawon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Damac Clean Sheet 16%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Taawon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 King Cup
Damac vs Al Taawon
0:3
Feb 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Taawon
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Damac
6:1
Mar 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Damac
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Taawon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Taawon Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Tulayhi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajab S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 84 / 100
Al Taawon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Taawon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taawon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Damac has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Taawon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Taawon
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 6

Al Taawon

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -