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Stadium Background

Damac vs Al Ula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Al Khalaf O.
38'
Quioto R.
61'
Sub
Al Hatila A. In: Adam A.
Out: Al Hatila A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ula in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Damac
15%
Draws
44%
Al Ula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ula lately — more wins on the board than Damac.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Damac Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Ula
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Division 1
Damac vs Al Ula
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Horta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 35 / 100
Al Ula 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Ula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Ula conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Damac remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Damac found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Ula
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
28 Oct
Al Jandal
0 : 2
Damac
19 Oct
Damac
4 : 1
Al Taee
12 Oct
Al Najma
3 : 0
Damac
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
Page 1 of 6

Al Ula

(Away)
26 Oct
Al Ula
3 : 1
Al Orubah
19 Oct
Al Zulfi
1 : 1
Al Ula
08 Oct
Al Okhdood
1 : 5
Al Ula
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 8 7 1 0 19:4 22
2 Al Jabalain 9 5 3 1 9:5 18
3 Al Najma 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
4 Al Wehda 9 3 6 0 18:10 15
5 Damac 9 4 3 2 13:10 15
6 Al Zulfi 9 3 5 1 10:4 14
7 Al Taee 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Al Adalah 9 3 3 3 13:12 12
9 Al Anwar 8 2 5 1 7:5 11
10 Al Saqer 9 2 4 3 8:8 10
11 Al Raed 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Al Orubah 8 1 5 2 6:8 8
13 Jeddah Club 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 8 1 3 4 10:12 6
16 Hajer 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
17 Al Bukiryah 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
18 Al Jeel 7 1 2 4 1:7 5
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)