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Damaiense W vs Braga W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Melo R.
Assist: Correia A.
29' Event
Melo R.
Assist: Halldorsdottir A.
54'
Cartaxo S.

AI Match Summary

Braga W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Braga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Damaiense W
20%
Draws
61%
Braga W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Braga W lately — more wins on the board than Damaiense W.
  • Win probability leans Braga W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 14%
Braga W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Braga W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Braga W
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Damaiense W
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Damaiense W vs Braga W
2:3
Jan 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Braga W
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Braga W vs Damaiense W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schmidt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 10 / 100
Braga W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Braga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Braga W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Damaiense W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Damaiense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS Braga W
1.14 Goals Scored 1
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Braga W

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)