Sport Picks
Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W
Portugal
Taça de Portugal Women 2024/2025 Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema, Lisbon 
Match Events
32'
32'
Blais A.
44'
44'
Almeida V.
68'
68'
Mateus T.
AI Match Summary
Damaiense W in this Taça de Portugal Women 2024/2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Damaiense W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- C.F. Benfica W haven't matched Damaiense W's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Damaiense W taking it.
- Damaiense W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Damaiense W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Damaiense W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 11%
C.F. Benfica W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Damaiense W | C.F. Benfica W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 43 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 22 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W
5:1
Apr 25, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W
3:0
Feb 28, 2021 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Damaiense W
2:3
Sep 26, 2020 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Damaiense W
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Damaiense W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateus T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Blais A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
C.F. Benfica W Compare
Top Goalscorer Almeida V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Damaiense W 83 / 100
C.F. Benfica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Damaiense W C.F. Benfica W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Damaiense W scored in 60% of their last 43 games.
C.F. Benfica W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
C.F. Benfica W lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Damaiense W VS C.F. Benfica W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Damaiense W
(Home) 10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1 Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2 Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0 Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes W
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03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2 Maritimo W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes W
22 Feb
Damaiense W
0 : 4 SL Benfica W
25 Jan
Damaiense W
0 : 3 Braga W
16 Jan
Damaiense W
1 : 6 Sporting W
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C.F. Benfica W
(Away) 13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2 Famalicao W
15 Feb
Damaiense W
5 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
10 Jun
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2 Maritimo W
04 Jun
Maritimo W
4 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
26 Jun
Ouriense W
0 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
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15 Feb
Damaiense W
5 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
04 Jun
Maritimo W
4 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
26 Jun
Ouriense W
0 : 1 C.F. Benfica W
18 Jun
Racing Power W
2 : 0 C.F. Benfica W
05 Jun
Gil Vicente W
2 : 2 C.F. Benfica W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Albergaria/Durit W0
Torreense W2
Vitoria Guimaraes W6
Leiria W0
Damaiense W5
C.F. Benfica W1
Gil Vicente W0
Braga W1
SL Benfica W3
Racing Power W2
Sporting W3
Maritimo W0
Valadares Gaia W1
Estoril Praia W0
Feirense W0
Rio Ave W6
Quarter-finals
Torreense W2
Vitoria Guimaraes W0
Damaiense W2
Braga W3
SL Benfica W3
Sporting W2
Valadares Gaia W2
Rio Ave W1
Semi-finals
Torreense W5
Braga W0
SL Benfica W3
Valadares Gaia W2
Final
Torreense W2
SL Benfica W1