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Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women 2024/2025 Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Blais A.
44' Event
Almeida V.
68' Event
Mateus T.

AI Match Summary

Damaiense W in this Taça de Portugal Women 2024/2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Damaiense W
15%
Draws
36%
C.F. Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damaiense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • C.F. Benfica W haven't matched Damaiense W's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Damaiense W taking it.
  • Damaiense W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Damaiense W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Damaiense W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 11%
C.F. Benfica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W C.F. Benfica W
Matches Played 45 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W
5:1
Apr 25, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs C.F. Benfica W
3:0
Feb 28, 2021 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Damaiense W
2:3
Sep 26, 2020 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Damaiense W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blais A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

C.F. Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 83 / 100
C.F. Benfica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W C.F. Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damaiense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Damaiense W scored in 62% of their last 45 games.

C.F. Benfica W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

C.F. Benfica W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS C.F. Benfica W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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C.F. Benfica W

(Away)
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
15 Feb
Damaiense W
5 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
10 Jun
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
04 Jun
Maritimo W
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
26 Jun
Ouriense W
0 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Albergaria/Durit W 0
Torreense W 2
Vitoria Guimaraes W 6
Leiria W 0
Damaiense W 5
C.F. Benfica W 1
Gil Vicente W 0
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 3
Racing Power W 2
Sporting W 3
Maritimo W 0
Valadares Gaia W 1
Estoril Praia W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 6
Quarter-finals
Torreense W 2
Vitoria Guimaraes W 0
Damaiense W 2
Braga W 3
SL Benfica W 3
Sporting W 2
Valadares Gaia W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Semi-finals
Torreense W 5
Braga W 0
SL Benfica W 3
Valadares Gaia W 2
Final
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 1