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Damaiense W vs Maritimo W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sisse F.
17'
Costa E.
22' Event
Parker S.
Assist: Almeida R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Damaiense W and Maritimo W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Damaiense W
20%
Draws
51%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritimo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Damaiense W haven't matched Maritimo W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 16%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Maritimo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Maritimo W
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
3:3
Feb 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Maritimo W
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zidoi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 36 / 100
Maritimo W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Damaiense W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Damaiense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS Maritimo W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Maritimo W

(Away)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)