Sport Picks

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Damaiense W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damaiense W in this Taça de Portugal Women 2023/2024 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Damaiense W
20%
Draws
16%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Damaiense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Damaiense W have won more games recently than Ouriense W.
  • Damaiense W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Damaiense W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Damaiense W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 68%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Ouriense W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.91 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Taça de Portugal Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
4:1
Nov 25, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Damaiense W
0:0
May 14, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Damaiense W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 77 / 100
Ouriense W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damaiense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ouriense W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ouriense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Damaiense W scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 7

Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Famalicao W 0
SL Benfica W 6
Valadares Gaia W 9
Boavista W 0
Damaiense W 4
Ouriense W 1
Sporting W 8
Albergaria/Durit W 0
Braga W 2
Maritimo W 1
Vitoria Setubal W 3
Cadima W 1
Vilaverdense W 0
Gil Vicente W 2
Racing Power W 4
Torreense W 1
Quarter-finals
SL Benfica W 4
Valadares Gaia W 0
Damaiense W 0
Sporting W 1
Braga W 2
Vitoria Setubal W 0
Gil Vicente W 0
Racing Power W 2
Semi-finals
SL Benfica W 2
Sporting W 1
Braga W 3
Racing Power W 6
Final
SL Benfica W 4
Racing Power W 1