Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damaiense W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Raphino B.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Wabeua Djiatio D. D.
Own Goal
44' Event
Bravo A.

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Taça da Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Damaiense W
35%
Draws
39%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting W have won more games recently than Damaiense W.
  • Sporting W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Taça da Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 12%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Sporting W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Damaiense W
3:0
Jan 16, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
1:6
Sep 22, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
0:6
Mar 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Damaiense W
2:0
Feb 12, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Damaiense W vs Sporting W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capeta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 27 / 100
Sporting W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Sporting W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Damaiense W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Damaiense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS Sporting W
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Sporting W

(Away)
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
2 Valadares Gaia W 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Braga W 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
4 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Maritimo W 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting W 4 2 2 0 10:4 8
2 Torreense W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Rio Ave W 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Racing Power W 4 1 0 3 5:4 3
5 Damaiense W 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)