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Damaiense W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estadio Algarve
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damaiense W play Vitoria Guimaraes W in the Liga BPI Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Damaiense W averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.65 conceded. Vitoria Guimaraes W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Damaiense W won 0, Vitoria Guimaraes W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Damaiense W and 1.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes W. This points to a Vitoria Guimaraes W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Damaiense W
25%
Draws
53%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Damaiense W picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria Guimaraes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 16%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Damaiense W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 23 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Vitoria Guimaraes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Damaiense W attacking → ← attacking Vitoria Guimaraes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damaiense W scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Damaiense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SL Benfica W18153058:1148
2Sporting W18105335:1635
3Torreense W18102629:2232
4Valadares Gaia W1875621:2226
5Braga W1866626:2124
6Vitoria Guimaraes W1849516:2321
7Racing Power W1846816:2318
8Rio Ave W1845910:1817
9Maritimo W18421219:4014
10Damaiense W18251117:5111