Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Wahda

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al-Ahli play Al Wahda in the Premier League. Damascus Al-Ahli are favorites here. Recently, Damascus Al-Ahli averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Al Wahda averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Damascus Al-Ahli won 2, Al Wahda won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Damascus Al-Ahli and 1.00 for Al Wahda. This points to a Damascus Al-Ahli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Damascus Al-Ahli
33%
Draws
27%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wahda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Damascus Al-Ahli.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Damascus Al-Ahli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Al Wahda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Wahda
0:3
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:2
Feb 20, 2024 Syria Cup
Al Wahda vs Damascus Al-Ahli
4:0
Apr 20, 2023 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:3
Oct 7, 2022 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Wahda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Barakat A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 40 / 100
Al Wahda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Al Wahda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Wahda let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Damascus Al-Ahli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Wahda lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al-Ahli VS Al Wahda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117