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Damascus Al-Ahli vs Horriya Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Neama K.
30' Event
Nanoua O.
73' Event
Antwi R.

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al-Ahli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damascus Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Damascus Al-Ahli
15%
Draws
21%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Damascus Al-Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Horriya.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Damascus Al-Ahli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Horriya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Horriya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Horriya
2:1
Dec 8, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
0:0
Jul 5, 2017 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Horriya
0:2
Feb 11, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Neama K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Horriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanoua O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 76 / 100
Horriya 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Horriya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Damascus Al-Ahli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al-Ahli VS Horriya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al-Ahli

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Horriya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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