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Damascus Al Ahli vs Horriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al Ahli host Horriya in the Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Damascus Al Ahli have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Horriya's 1 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Damascus Al Ahli slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.06, favoring Damascus Al Ahli. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Damascus Al Ahli
15%
Draws
21%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Damascus Al Ahli have won more games recently than Horriya.
  • Model gives Damascus Al Ahli a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Damascus Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Horriya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al Ahli Horriya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al Ahli
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Horriya
2:1
Dec 8, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al Ahli
0:0
Jul 5, 2017 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Horriya
0:2
Feb 11, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al Ahli
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al Ahli 85 / 100
Horriya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al Ahli Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al Ahli scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Horriya has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Damascus Al Ahli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al Ahli VS Horriya
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al Ahli

(Home)
09 Oct
Damascus Al Ahli
2 : 0
Foutoua
04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
Page 1 of 6

Horriya

(Away)
10 Oct
Horriya
1 : 3
Al Ittihad Aleppo
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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