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Damash Gilan vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Eisalou A.
49' Event
Mohsen A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Damash Gilan
6%
Draws
90%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Damash Gilan haven't matched Ario Eslamshahr's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ario Eslamshahr a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 18%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Damash Gilan
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Damash Gilan
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Damash Gilan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damash Gilan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisalou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 10 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Damash Gilan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Damash Gilan's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ario Eslamshahr conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Damash Gilan VS Ario Eslamshahr
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618