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Damash Gilan vs Mes Kerman

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Akashe A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Damash Gilan and Mes Kerman finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Kerman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Damash Gilan
35%
Draws
41%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mes Kerman come out ahead of Damash Gilan on wins alone.
  • Mes Kerman are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 14%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Mes Kerman
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 10 15
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.43 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mes Kerman
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Damash Gilan
2:1
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Damash Gilan
0:0
Dec 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mes Kerman
0:0
Feb 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Damash Gilan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damash Gilan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Akashe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 11 / 100
Mes Kerman 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damash Gilan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Damash Gilan scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Mes Kerman has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Damash Gilan VS Mes Kerman
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Damash Gilan

(Home)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0
Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1
Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
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Mes Kerman

(Away)
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)