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Damash Gilan vs Shahrdari Astara

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damash Gilan play Shahrdari Astara in the Azadegan League 2024/2025. Damash Gilan are favorites here. Recently, Damash Gilan averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Shahrdari Astara averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Damash Gilan won 3, Shahrdari Astara won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Damash Gilan and 1.31 for Shahrdari Astara. This points to a Damash Gilan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Damash Gilan
18%
Draws
21%
Shahrdari Astara
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Damash Gilan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Damash Gilan picked up more points recently compared to Shahrdari Astara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 18%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Shahrdari Astara
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 10 7
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 0.62 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Shahrdari Astara
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Damash Gilan
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Shahrdari Astara
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Damash Gilan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damash Gilan Compare

Top Goalscorer Simanpour S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gholibeigi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Shahrdari Astara Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 59 / 100
Shahrdari Astara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Shahrdari Astara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damash Gilan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Damash Gilan & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Damash Gilan attacking → ← attacking Shahrdari Astara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damash Gilan scored in 44% of their last 34 games.

Shahrdari Astara let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Damash Gilan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shahrdari Astara lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 7
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818