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Dandenong City SC vs Green Gully

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Frank Holohan Soccer Complex
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AI Match Summary

Dandenong City SC play Green Gully in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dandenong City SC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Green Gully averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Dandenong City SC won 3, Green Gully won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Dandenong City SC and 0.88 for Green Gully. This points to a Dandenong City SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dandenong City SC
33%
Draws
17%
Green Gully
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dandenong City SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dandenong City SC picked up more points recently compared to Green Gully.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 25%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dandenong City SC Green Gully
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.58 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Green Gully
2:1
Jun 13, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Green Gully
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong City SC
0:5
Jul 6, 2024 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong City SC
2:3
Apr 5, 2024 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Green Gully
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dandenong City SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Waring P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Green Gully Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dandenong City SC 50 / 100
Green Gully 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dandenong City SC Green Gully

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dandenong City SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dandenong City SC attacking → ← attacking Green Gully

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dandenong City SC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Green Gully let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dandenong City SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Green Gully lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 20
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons19125241:1841
2Hume City19124339:2240
3Avondale FC19111753:2534
4Heidelberg Utd1994631:2431
5Melbourne City U211885535:2029
6Preston Lions18112528:1529
7South Melbourne1991929:3228
8George Cross1968525:2626
9Dandenong City SC1975726:2522
10St Albans1964921:3422
11Altona Magic19541021:3519
12Bentleigh Greens19441117:4216
13Dandenong Thunder19331320:4212
14Green Gully19241313:3910