Sport Picks
Dandenong Thunder vs St Albans
Australia
NPL Victoria George Andrews Reserve, Melbourne 
Match Events
13'
13'
Inoue A.
53'
53'
Obani T.
55'
55'
Jalloh H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St Albans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to St Albans lately — more wins on the board than Dandenong Thunder.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on St Albans taking it.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dandenong Thunder Clean Sheet 10%
St Albans Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | St Albans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs St Albans
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Dandenong Thunder
1:5
May 3, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs St Albans
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Dandenong Thunder
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs St Albans
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dandenong Thunder Compare
Top Goalscorer Obani T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jalloh H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
St Albans Compare
Top Goalscorer Inoue A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Platt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dandenong Thunder 26 / 100
St Albans 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dandenong Thunder St Albans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Albans has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Dandenong Thunder scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Dandenong Thunder stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dandenong Thunder VS St Albans
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dandenong Thunder
(Home) 25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2 Altona Magic
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
27 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
1 : 3 Hume City
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2 Altona Magic
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
27 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
1 : 3 Hume City
06 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 3 George Cross
16 May
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 2 St Albans
Page 1 of 3
St Albans
(Away) 24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2 Hume City
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1 St Albans
12 Jul
St Albans
2 : 2 George Cross
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
26 Jun
St Albans
0 : 2 Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1 St Albans
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
05 Jun
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 2 St Albans
22 May
Dandenong City SC
2 : 1 St Albans
16 May
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 2 St Albans
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:20 | 48 |
| 2 | Hume City | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:28 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 57:30 | 38 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33:18 | 37 |
| 5 | South Melbourne | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 6 | Heidelberg Utd | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:26 | 34 |
| 7 | George Cross | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 28:28 | 31 |
| 8 | Melbourne City U21 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 39:26 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:39 | 27 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 11 | Dandenong City SC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | 23 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20:46 | 20 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 23:48 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19:45 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
