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Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ji Sang-Wook
22' Event
Park Ha-Bean
(Penalty)
34' Event
Jung Young-Ung

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Dangjin Citizen and Gangneung finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dangjin Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Gangneung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Gangneung have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans Dangjin Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Gangneung
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Korean Cup
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
3:2
Mar 20, 2022 K3 League
Gangneung vs Dangjin Citizen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ji Sang-Wook
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jung Young-Ung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 95 / 100
Gangneung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Gangneung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dangjin Citizen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gangneung conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Gangneung
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429