Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Kang Seong-yun
38' Event
Kwon H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dangjin Citizen
15%
Draws
42%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dangjin Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
1:2
Jun 25, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:3
Mar 13, 2022 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Seong-yun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwon H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 95 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dangjin Citizen scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Ulsan Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Dangjin Citizen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Ulsan Citizen
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)