Sport Picks

Danubio vs Atenas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Danubio

3 - 2

Atenas

Our Tip

Match Events

Milan F.

19'

Bassadone L.

22'

Fernandez S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Danubio

15%

Draws

37%

Atenas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Danubio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Danubio a 48% chance of winning this.
Atenas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Danubio, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Danubio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Danubio Clean Sheet 68%

Atenas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Danubio	Atenas
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	13
Draws	11	7
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Danubio vs Atenas

3:2

Sep 21, 2021 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Danubio

0:2

Jun 15, 2021 Segunda Division

Danubio vs Atenas

2:1

Sep 22, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Atenas vs Danubio

0:0

Apr 1, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Danubio vs Atenas

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Velazquez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Milan F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bassadone L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio 86 / 100

Atenas 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Danubio Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Danubio Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Danubio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Danubio found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Danubio VS Atenas

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Danubio

(Home)

01 Nov

Danubio

1 : 2

Club Nacional

29 Oct

Wanderers Durazno

0 : 3

Danubio

24 Oct

Maldonado

2 : 1

Danubio

18 Oct

Danubio

1 : 0

Central Esp.

15 Oct

Central Esp.

0 : 6

Danubio

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Atenas

(Away)

01 Nov

Colon

1 : 0

Atenas

25 Oct

Atenas

4 : 0

Fenix

18 Oct

Rentistas

3 : 0

Atenas

11 Oct

Atenas

1 : 1

Miramar

03 Oct

Tacuarembo

0 : 1

Atenas

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