Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Danubio

3 - 2

Atenas

Our Tip

Match Events

Milan F.

19'

Bassadone L.

22'

Fernandez S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Danubio

35%

Draws

52%

Atenas

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

13% / Low Confidence

Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Danubio a 13% chance of winning this.
Atenas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Danubio, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Danubio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Danubio Clean Sheet 68%

Atenas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Danubio	Atenas
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	3	12
Draws	14	5
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	0.83	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Danubio vs Atenas

3:2

Sep 21, 2021 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Danubio

0:2

Jun 15, 2021 Segunda Division

Danubio vs Atenas

2:1

Sep 22, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Atenas vs Danubio

0:0

Apr 1, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Danubio vs Atenas

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Velazquez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Milan F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bassadone L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio 50 / 100

Atenas 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Danubio Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Danubio Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Danubio scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Danubio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Danubio VS Atenas

0.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Danubio

(Home)

20 Sept

Danubio

1 : 1

Wanderers

13 Sept

Juventud

1 : 1

Danubio

05 Sept

Danubio

0 : 4

Penarol

01 Sept

Montevideo City

2 : 0

Danubio

29 Aug

Progreso

1 : 0

Danubio

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Atenas

(Away)

19 Sept

La Luz

0 : 1

Atenas

13 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Cerrito

06 Sept

Atenas

3 : 2

River Plate Montevideo

02 Sept

Atenas

2 : 2

Penarol

29 Aug

Paysandu FC

2 : 0

Atenas

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