Sport Picks
Danubio vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Danubio host Cerro Largo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Danubio at 0.79 goals for, 1.31 against; Cerro Largo at 1 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Danubio have won 0 to Cerro Largo's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Cerro Largo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Cerro Largo lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Danubio taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Largo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Danubio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cerro Largo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home)Cerro Largo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6:16 | 0 |
