Sport Picks

Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff

Danubio

0 - 0

Defensor Sp.

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Jorge J.

37'

Amaro M.

46'

Sub

Torterolo A. In: Castro F.

Out: Torterolo A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Danubio

39%

Draws

31%

Defensor Sp.

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Defensor Sp. haven't matched Danubio's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Danubio Clean Sheet 68%

Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Danubio	Defensor Sp.
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	7	6
Draws	11	11
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	0.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Danubio vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Danubio

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Mar 27, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Danubio vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Oct 5, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Danubio vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Mar 30, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Danubio

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio 41 / 100

Defensor Sp. 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Danubio Defensor Sp.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor Sp. has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Danubio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Danubio found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Danubio VS Defensor Sp.

0.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	23:14	31
2	Maldonado	15	9	2	4	24:16	29
3	Albion	15	8	4	3	26:16	28
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23:16	27
5	Central Esp.	15	7	3	5	23:22	24
6	Montevideo City	15	6	5	4	22:16	23
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	22
8	Defensor Sp.	15	5	6	4	13:11	21
9	Liverpool M.	15	5	5	5	20:18	20
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	16:21	20
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	16:19	17
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	14:20	17
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	15
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	12:23	10
16	CA Cerro	15	2	4	9	8:24	10