Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Penarol in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penarol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Danubio haven't matched Penarol's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Penarol taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Penarol have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Danubio Compare
Penarol Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Danubio found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Danubio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home)Penarol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Penarol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Maldonado | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Boston River | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Central Esp. | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Albion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
