Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Progreso finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progreso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Progreso carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Danubio's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Danubio Compare
Progreso Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progreso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Danubio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Progreso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home)Progreso
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 7 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
