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Darajani Gogo vs Mombasa United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mombasa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mombasa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Darajani Gogo
30%
Draws
34%
Mombasa United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Darajani Gogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Darajani Gogo haven't matched Mombasa United's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Darajani Gogo taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Darajani Gogo Clean Sheet 68%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darajani Gogo Mombasa United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mombasa United
1:2
Nov 10, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Darajani Gogo
2:1
May 24, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Darajani Gogo
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mombasa United
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mombasa United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darajani Gogo 46 / 100
Mombasa United 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darajani Gogo Mombasa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Darajani Gogo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Darajani Gogo's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mombasa United conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Darajani Gogo VS Mombasa United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Darajani Gogo

(Home)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1
Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 7

Mombasa United

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)