Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Darda vs Marsonia

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Darda and Marsonia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Darda
15%
Draws
51%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marsonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Darda a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Darda Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darda Marsonia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL East
Darda vs Marsonia
0:3
Sep 1, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Darda
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darda 36 / 100
Marsonia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darda Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsonia let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Darda scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Darda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marsonia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Darda

(Home)
28 May
Granicar Zupanja
6 : 2
Darda
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
15 May
Bedem Ivankovo
3 : 0
Darda
07 May
Darda
1 : 4
Kutjevo
04 May
Vuteks Sloga
1 : 3
Darda
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)