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Darda vs Zrinski Osjecko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Darda play Zrinski Osjecko in the 3. HNL East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Darda averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Zrinski Osjecko averaged 0.48 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Darda won 0, Zrinski Osjecko won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 26, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Darda and 0.99 for Zrinski Osjecko. This points to a Darda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Darda
20%
Draws
31%
Zrinski Osjecko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Darda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Darda picked up more points recently compared to Zrinski Osjecko.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Darda Clean Sheet 23%
Zrinski Osjecko Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darda Zrinski Osjecko
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.17 0.48
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL East
Darda vs Zrinski Osjecko
0:1
Aug 21, 2021 3. HNL East
Zrinski Osjecko vs Darda
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darda 49 / 100
Zrinski Osjecko 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darda Zrinski Osjecko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Darda or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Darda attacking → ← attacking Zrinski Osjecko

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darda scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Zrinski Osjecko let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Darda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zrinski Osjecko lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 10
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vukovar 199134257280:2082
2Zrinski Osjecko34246469:3378
3Belisce34236595:2875
4Marsonia34217661:2570
5Slavonija Pozega34187960:3861
6Croatia Dakovo341611760:3859
7Bedem Ivankovo341381353:5247
8Slavija Pleternica341361557:6845
9Kutjevo341271559:6243
10Granicar Zupanja341171643:5240
11Sloga Nova Gradiska341231946:7139
12Oriolik341151843:7138
13Cepin348101646:6434
14Darda34952044:7132
15Vuteks Sloga34942152:8131
16NASK Nasice34791838:6330
17Omladinac Gornja Vrba34862035:6330
18Slavonac Bukovlje34742336:7725