Sport Picks
Darfo Boario vs Ciserano-Bergamo
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ciserano-Bergamo have won more games recently than Darfo Boario.
- Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darfo Boario | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Nov 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Darfo Boario
0:0
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Darfo Boario
2:0
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Mar 19, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Darfo Boario
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darfo Boario 10 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darfo Boario Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciserano-Bergamo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Darfo Boario scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Darfo Boario has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Darfo Boario
(Home) 14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5 Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5 Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5 Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3 Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
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14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5 Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5 Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5 Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3 Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
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Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
15 Mar
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 68:18 | 89 |
| 2 | Mantova | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 73:27 | 83 |
| 3 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 61:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Rezzato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 53:36 | 65 |
| 5 | Caronnese | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 57:41 | 59 |
| 6 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 34:41 | 45 |
| 7 | Sondrio | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 8 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 35:35 | 41 |
| 10 | Caravaggio | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:52 | 40 |
| 12 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:37 | 39 |
| 13 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Darfo Boario | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:46 | 35 |
| 15 | Ambrosiana | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 45:62 | 33 |
| 16 | Villafranca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 36:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Ciserano | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 42:68 | 26 |
| 18 | Olginatese | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26:60 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
