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Darfo Boario vs Villa Valle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Darfo Boario and Villa Valle finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darfo Boario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Darfo Boario
30%
Draws
47%
Villa Valle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa Valle come out ahead of Darfo Boario on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darfo Boario Villa Valle
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Villa Valle
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Darfo Boario
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darfo Boario 10 / 100
Villa Valle 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darfo Boario Villa Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Darfo Boario scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Darfo Boario has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villa Valle
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Darfo Boario

(Home)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
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Villa Valle

(Away)
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)