Sport Picks
Darlington FC vs Chester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
57'
57'
Bogle-Campbell M.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Darlington FC and Chester finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Darlington FC haven't matched Chester's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 13%
Chester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darlington FC | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chester
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 National League North
Chester vs Darlington FC
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chester
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Darlington FC
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chester
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Darlington FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogle-Campbell M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darlington FC 31 / 100
Chester 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darlington FC Chester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Darlington FC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Darlington FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Chester has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Darlington FC VS Chester
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Darlington FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2 King’s Lynn
29 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2 Macclesfield
18 Aug
Darlington FC
0 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 3
Chester
(Away) 10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
