Sport Picks
Darlington FC vs Hebburn Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
32'
32'
Beck M.
74'
74'
Murray L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Darlington FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hebburn Town lately — more wins on the board than Darlington FC.
- Model gives Darlington FC a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 68%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darlington FC | Hebburn Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Hebburn Town
1:1
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Hebburn Town vs Darlington FC
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Darlington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Beck M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Hebburn Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Murray L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darlington FC 59 / 100
Hebburn Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darlington FC Hebburn Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Darlington FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Darlington FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Hebburn Town let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Darlington FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Darlington FC VS Hebburn Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Darlington FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2 King’s Lynn
29 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2 Macclesfield
18 Aug
Darlington FC
0 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 3
Hebburn Town
(Away) 10 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 3 Oxford City
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1 Hebburn Town
31 Aug
Macclesfield
3 : 0 Hebburn Town
22 Aug
Buxton
1 : 2 Hebburn Town
15 Aug
Brackley
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
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Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
