Sport Picks

England

National League North 2025/2026 Blackwell Meadows

Darlington FC

3 - 1

Merthyr Town

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Cox C.

67'

Maskell J.

87'

Rutledge A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Darlington FC in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darlington FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Darlington FC

28%

Draws

22%

Merthyr Town

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Darlington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Darlington FC lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
Darlington FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Darlington FC Clean Sheet 12%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Darlington FC	Merthyr Town
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 National League North

Darlington FC vs Merthyr Town

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Nov 1, 2025 National League North

Merthyr Town vs Darlington FC

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maskell J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rutledge A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Cox C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darlington FC 47 / 100

Merthyr Town 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Darlington FC Merthyr Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darlington FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Merthyr Town has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Darlington FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Darlington FC VS Merthyr Town

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AFC Fylde	46	32	4	10	112:51	100
2	South Shields	46	28	11	7	99:43	95
3	Kidderminster	46	25	12	9	74:51	87
4	Macclesfield	46	24	7	15	81:68	79
5	Buxton	46	22	7	17	83:61	73
6	Scarborough Athletic	46	19	16	11	61:52	73
7	Chester	46	20	13	13	66:64	73
8	Merthyr Town	46	22	4	20	95:86	70
9	Darlington FC	46	20	9	17	78:68	69
10	Spennymoor	46	19	11	16	62:69	68
11	Telford	46	17	14	15	85:65	65
12	Marine	46	18	8	20	62:72	62
13	Radcliffe	46	18	6	22	76:83	60
14	Southport	46	16	12	18	64:71	60
15	Chorley	46	15	12	19	66:65	57
16	Worksop	46	16	9	21	66:74	57
17	Oxford City	46	15	11	20	62:67	56
18	Bedford	46	13	14	19	66:77	53
19	King’s Lynn	46	12	16	18	56:64	52
20	Hereford	46	14	10	22	64:79	52
21	Curzon Ashton	46	13	13	20	67:88	52
22	Alfreton	46	12	14	20	49:82	50
23	Peterborough Sports	46	10	9	27	51:96	39
24	Leamington	46	7	8	31	41:90	29