Sport Picks
Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld
Germany
2. Bundesliga Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt 
Match Events
3'
3'
Lee Ho-Jae
Assist: Weisshaupt N.
33'
33'
Momuluh M.
35'
35'
Petretta R.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga game between Darmstadt and Arminia Bielefeld finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darmstadt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darmstadt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Darmstadt have managed 1.93 goals a game lately — Arminia Bielefeld are scoring more at 2.24.
- Model gives Darmstadt a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darmstadt | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:2
Mar 11, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt
3:1
Sep 4, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Darmstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee Ho-Jae
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Arminia Bielefeld Compare
Top Goalscorer Worl M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darmstadt 34 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darmstadt Arminia Bielefeld
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Darmstadt scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Arminia Bielefeld has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Away concern: Arminia Bielefeld has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Darmstadt VS Arminia Bielefeld
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Darmstadt
(Home) 11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
05 Sept
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 Darmstadt
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1 Hannover
23 Aug
Jena
1 : 2 Darmstadt
16 Aug
Dresden
1 : 0 Darmstadt
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1 Hannover
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
14 Jul
Darmstadt
5 : 1 FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 3
Arminia Bielefeld
(Away) 11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3 : 2 Arminia Bielefeld
16 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0 Energie Cottbus
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3 : 2 Arminia Bielefeld
08 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hertha Berlin | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Magdeburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bochum | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 9 | VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 13 | Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Hannover | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
