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Dartford vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Smith D.
11' Event
Smith D.
53' Event
West D.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Dartford and Lewes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dartford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dartford
15%
Draws
21%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dartford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lewes haven't matched Dartford's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Dartford taking it.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dartford Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dartford Lewes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Lewes
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Dartford
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Dartford
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Lewes
2:0
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Lewes vs Dartford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dartford Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olopade D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer West D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dartford 85 / 100
Lewes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dartford Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dartford scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Lewes let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dartford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dartford VS Lewes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Dartford

(Home)
08 Aug
Three Bridges
2 : 3
Dartford
01 Aug
Dartford
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Jul
Faversham
0 : 2
Dartford
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
14 Jul
Sutton Athletic
1 : 2
Dartford
Page 1 of 7

Lewes

(Away)
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
25 Apr
Chatham
2 : 1
Lewes
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)