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Dartford vs Welling Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Cooper N.
50' Event
Melvin-Lambert N.
59' Event
Shomotun F.

AI Match Summary

Welling in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Welling.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dartford
15%
Draws
36%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dartford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dartford lately — more wins on the board than Welling.
  • Dartford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dartford Clean Sheet 19%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dartford Welling
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.82
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Welling
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Dartford
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Welling
3:1
Dec 30, 2023 National League South
Dartford vs Welling
1:1
Dec 26, 2023 National League South
Welling vs Dartford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dartford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melvin-Lambert N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dartford 76 / 100
Welling 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dartford Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dartford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dartford scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Welling conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dartford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dartford VS Welling
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dartford

(Home)
03 Oct
Tadley Calleva
2 : 1
Dartford
29 Sept
Dartford
2 : 1
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3
Dartford
19 Sept
Dartford
4 : 2
Hayes & Yeading
15 Sept
Enfield Town
0 : 2
Dartford
Page 1 of 7

Welling

(Away)
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1
Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 9 7 0 2 19:9 21
2 Dartford 9 7 0 2 15:9 21
3 Carshalton 10 7 0 3 18:15 21
4 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
5 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
6 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
7 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
9 Ramsgate 9 4 1 4 21:13 13
10 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
11 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
15 Aveley 9 3 1 5 16:16 10
16 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
17 Maldon & Tiptree 10 3 0 7 14:30 9
18 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)