Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dassendorf vs Tornesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Moller S.
6' Event
Moller S.
21' Event
Harnik M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Dassendorf and Tornesch finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dassendorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Dassendorf
15%
Draws
20%
Tornesch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dassendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Dassendorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dassendorf a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dassendorf have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Dassendorf Clean Sheet 68%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dassendorf Tornesch
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.56 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.22 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Tornesch
7:1
Aug 6, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Dassendorf
1:5
May 5, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Dassendorf
1:3
Nov 12, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Tornesch
4:1
Sep 19, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Tornesch
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dassendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harnik M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Orhan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dassendorf 95 / 100
Tornesch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dassendorf Tornesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dassendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dassendorf scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Tornesch conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Dassendorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dassendorf VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dassendorf

(Home)
14 Aug
Dassendorf
6 : 0
Altona
02 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
0 : 4
Dassendorf
25 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2
St. Pauli II
15 May
Dassendorf
2 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 6

Tornesch

(Away)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)