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Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dauphins Noirs host Etoile de Kivu in the Ligue 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Dauphins Noirs have averaged 1.35 scored and 0.77 conceded recently, against Etoile de Kivu's 1.31 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Dauphins Noirs have won 3 to Etoile de Kivu's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Dauphins Noirs to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Dauphins Noirs
20%
Draws
36%
Etoile de Kivu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dauphins Noirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Dauphins Noirs have won more games recently than Etoile de Kivu.
  • Model gives Dauphins Noirs a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dauphins Noirs Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dauphins Noirs Etoile de Kivu
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu
3:2
Nov 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Dauphins Noirs
0:3
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Dauphins Noirs
2:3
Dec 18, 2023 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dauphins Noirs 58 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dauphins Noirs Etoile de Kivu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dauphins Noirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dauphins Noirs remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dauphins Noirs found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Etoile de Kivu let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dauphins Noirs VS Etoile de Kivu
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dauphins Noirs

(Home)
15 Apr
Dauphins Noirs
3 : 0
AC Rangers
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
28 Mar
Aigles du Congo
0 : 2
Dauphins Noirs
25 Mar
AS Vita Club
0 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
18 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de Kivu

(Away)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)