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Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas host Kaya FC in the PFL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kaya FC have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Davao Aguilas have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Davao Aguilas slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.63, favoring Davao Aguilas. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
36%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kaya FC at 2.34 per game, Davao Aguilas at 2.1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 14%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Kaya FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.1 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 35 / 100
Kaya FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Kaya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaya FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Davao Aguilas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaya FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Kaya FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Kaya FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Azkals
1 : 3
Kaya FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)