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Davao Aguilas vs Loyola

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas play Loyola in the PFL 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Davao Aguilas averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Loyola averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Davao Aguilas won 2, Loyola won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Davao Aguilas and 0.94 for Loyola. This points to a Davao Aguilas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Davao Aguilas
15%
Draws
34%
Loyola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Davao Aguilas picked up more points recently compared to Loyola.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 24%
Loyola Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Loyola
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.94 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Loyola
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 PFL
Loyola vs Davao Aguilas
0:3
Jun 2, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Loyola
3:0
Sep 23, 2017 PFL
Loyola vs Davao Aguilas
2:0
Jul 29, 2017 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Loyola
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Loyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Narita K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 51 / 100
Loyola 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Loyola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Davao Aguilas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Davao Aguilas attacking → ← attacking Loyola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Loyola let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Davao Aguilas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Loyola lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 33
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaya FC18142248:1544
2Manila Digger18141356:1043
3Taguig18103539:1333
4Cebu FC1894533:1831
5Stallion1883736:2527
6Davao Aguilas1874724:1625
7Maharlika Manila18531021:3718
8Loyola18521120:3917
9Philippines U2018341116:4913
10Mendiola FC 199118121514:855