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Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas host Manila Digger in the PFL. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Davao Aguilas have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Manila Digger's 3.69 scored and 0.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Manila Digger slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Manila Digger to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
46%
Manila Digger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Manila Digger have won more games recently than Davao Aguilas.
  • Model gives Manila Digger a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 17%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Manila Digger
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 15 24
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.1 3.69
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 PFL
Manila Digger vs Davao Aguilas
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 PFL
Manila Digger vs Davao Aguilas
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 28 / 100
Manila Digger 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Manila Digger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Davao Aguilas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Manila Digger has conceded goals in 54% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Manila Digger
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Manila Digger

(Away)
11 Oct
Kaya FC
0 : 1
Manila Digger
04 Oct
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Cebu FC
27 Sept
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Azkals
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)