Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas host Philippine Army in the PFL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Philippine Army have shipped 5.5 goals a game lately, while Davao Aguilas have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Davao Aguilas slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (3.38 - 1.38) back Davao Aguilas to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
0%
Philippine Army
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Davao Aguilas come out ahead of Philippine Army on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Davao Aguilas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Davao Aguilas here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 17%
Philippine Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Philippine Army
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 28
Goals Scored 2.1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.24 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 PFL
Philippine Army vs Davao Aguilas
0:5
May 4, 2024 PFL
Philippine Army vs Davao Aguilas
0:5
Jul 29, 2023 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Philippine Army vs Davao Aguilas
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 84 / 100
Philippine Army 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Philippine Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Davao Aguilas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippine Army conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Davao Aguilas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Philippine Army has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Philippine Army
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Philippine Army

(Away)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Philippine Army
1 : 2
Mendiola FC 1991
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)