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Davao Aguilas vs Tuloy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Iwai R.
30' Event
Iwai R.
83' Event
Saut C.

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
17%
Tuloy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Tuloy haven't matched Davao Aguilas's recent run of results.
  • Davao Aguilas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Davao Aguilas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 68%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Tuloy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 4.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Tuloy
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
2:7
Oct 19, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Tuloy
5:2
Jun 23, 2024 PFL
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
1:3
Jul 23, 2023 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwai R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Tuloy Compare

Top Goalscorer Saut C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 86 / 100
Tuloy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Tuloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Davao Aguilas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuloy has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Davao Aguilas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Davao Aguilas scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Tuloy
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Tuloy

(Away)
11 Oct
Tuloy
4 : 5
Stallion
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)