Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dayton vs Derby City Rovers

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby City Rovers in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby City Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dayton
15%
Draws
0%
Derby City Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dayton lately — more wins on the board than Derby City Rovers.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Dayton taking it.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dayton here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dayton Clean Sheet 17%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dayton Derby City Rovers
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 1.31 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2018 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Dayton
0:6
Jun 3, 2018 USL League Two
Dayton vs Derby City Rovers
3:1
May 25, 2018 USL League Two
Dayton vs Derby City Rovers
5:1
Jun 16, 2017 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Dayton
0:1
May 16, 2017 USL League Two
Dayton vs Derby City Rovers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 84 / 100
Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dayton Derby City Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby City Rovers has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Derby City Rovers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dayton scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Dayton VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dayton

(Home)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
Page 1 of 7

Derby City Rovers

(Away)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
Page 1 of 6