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Dayton vs Louisville City 2

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

Dayton play Louisville City 2 in the USL League Two. Louisville City 2 are favorites here. Recently, Dayton averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Louisville City 2 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Dayton won 0, Louisville City 2 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dayton and 1.56 for Louisville City 2. This points to a Louisville City 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dayton
17%
Draws
13%
Louisville City 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Dayton has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Louisville City 2.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Dayton.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dayton Clean Sheet 15%
Louisville City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dayton Louisville City 2
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 USL League Two
Louisville City 2 vs Dayton
1:0
May 27, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs Louisville City 2
2:3
May 13, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs Louisville City 2
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 66 / 100
Louisville City 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dayton Louisville City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dayton scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Louisville City 2 let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dayton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Louisville City 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dayton VS Louisville City 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%