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Dayton vs Toledo Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Dayton and Toledo Villa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dayton
15%
Draws
0%
Toledo Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Toledo Villa haven't matched Dayton's recent run of results.
  • Dayton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dayton Clean Sheet 18%
Toledo Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dayton Toledo Villa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
0:1
Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs Toledo Villa
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Dayton vs Toledo Villa
0:4
Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 85 / 100
Toledo Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dayton Toledo Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dayton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo Villa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Toledo Villa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Dayton found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dayton VS Toledo Villa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dayton

(Home)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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Toledo Villa

(Away)
12 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
4 : 2
Toledo Villa
08 Jul
Toledo Villa
1 : 2
Northern Indiana
27 Jun
Toledo Villa
2 : 3
Northern Indiana
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
20 Jun
Toledo Villa
3 : 4
West Virginia
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