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Dayton vs West Virginia

USA USA

USL League Two
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dayton play West Virginia in the USL League Two. West Virginia are favorites here. Recently, Dayton averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. West Virginia averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Dayton won 2, West Virginia won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Dayton and 1.75 for West Virginia. This points to a West Virginia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dayton
15%
Draws
56%
West Virginia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Virginia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Dayton picked up more points recently compared to West Virginia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Dayton Clean Sheet 12%
West Virginia Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dayton West Virginia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:1
Jul 6, 2025 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 USL League Two
Dayton vs West Virginia
2:3
Jun 25, 2019 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:4
Jun 5, 2019 USL League Two
Dayton vs West Virginia
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 29 / 100
West Virginia 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dayton West Virginia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Virginia Win (2)
Secondary Pick West Virginia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dayton attacking → ← attacking West Virginia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dayton scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

West Virginia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dayton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

West Virginia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 47
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88