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DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W

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USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Audi Field
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AI Match Summary

DC Power W play Carolina Ascent W in the USL Super League Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, DC Power W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Carolina Ascent W averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, DC Power W won 0, Carolina Ascent W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for DC Power W and 1.38 for Carolina Ascent W. This points to a Carolina Ascent W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
DC Power W
24%
Draws
48%
Carolina Ascent W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • DC Power W picked up more points recently compared to Carolina Ascent W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 17%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC Power W Carolina Ascent W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
3:2
Apr 8, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DC Power W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lussi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC Power W 29 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC Power W Carolina Ascent W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Carolina Ascent W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

DC Power W attacking → ← attacking Carolina Ascent W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DC Power W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Carolina Ascent W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

DC Power W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Carolina Ascent W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 54
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223