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DC Power W vs Lexington W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DC Power W host Lexington W in the USL Super League Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lexington W have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while DC Power W have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor DC Power W slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward Lexington W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
DC Power W
30%
Draws
47%
Lexington W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lexington W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • DC Power W haven't matched Lexington W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lexington W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 16%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC Power W Lexington W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
1:2
Apr 1, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Lexington W
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Lexington W
0:0
May 31, 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC Power W 28 / 100
Lexington W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC Power W Lexington W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DC Power W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lexington W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: DC Power W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DC Power W VS Lexington W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

DC Power W

(Home)
16 Oct
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
DC Power W
22 Sept
DC Power W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
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Lexington W

(Away)
17 Oct
Lexington W
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
11 Oct
Fort Lauderdale United W
2 : 1
Lexington W
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
2 Sporting Jax W 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
3 Lexington W 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Dallas Trinity W 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 DC Power W 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
7 Brooklyn W 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 9 2 0 7 7:16 6
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)