Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
D'Avilla D.
41'
41'
Baribo T.
48'
48'
Bamba J.
AI Match Summary
Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: DC United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- DC United haven't matched Chicago Fire's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
DC United Clean Sheet 15%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DC United | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Chicago Fire
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs DC United
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Chicago Fire
1:7
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs DC United
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs DC United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DC United Compare
Top Goalscorer Baribo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Chicago Fire Compare
Top Goalscorer Lod R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cuypers H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DC United 35 / 100
Chicago Fire 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DC United Chicago Fire
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chicago Fire Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
DC United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Chicago Fire let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
DC United VS Chicago Fire
0.57 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DC United
(Home) 12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3 New England Revolution
01 Aug
DC United
2 : 2 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 4
Chicago Fire
(Away) 13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Chicago Fire
22 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 2 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 46 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 43 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 43 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 41 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 9 | San Diego FC | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | 29 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | 18 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 54 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 45 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 43 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 40 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | 34 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 33 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | 23 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
