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DC United vs FC Cincinnati - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

DC United host FC Cincinnati in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Cincinnati have shipped 2.21 goals a game lately, while DC United have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, DC United have won 2 to FC Cincinnati's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.50, favoring FC Cincinnati. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
DC United
20%
Draws
40%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
DC United Clean Sheet 16%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.33 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Jul 3, 2024 MLS
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0:0
Jun 24, 2023 MLS
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 31 / 100
FC Cincinnati 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cincinnati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Cincinnati conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: FC Cincinnati has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS FC Cincinnati
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
14 Oct
DC United
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Oct
Inter Miami
4 : 0
DC United
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati

(Away)
18 Oct
FC Cincinnati
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
14 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 3
New England Revolution
10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)