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DC United vs New York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DC United host New York City in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: DC United at 1.36 goals for, 2 against; New York City at 1.33 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, DC United have won 2 to New York City's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.81) back New York City to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
DC United
30%
Draws
70%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • New York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on New York City taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
DC United Clean Sheet 11%
New York City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United New York City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 MLS
New York City vs DC United
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
New York City vs DC United
1:2
May 14, 2025 MLS
DC United vs New York City
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
DC United vs New York City
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 MLS
New York City vs DC United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 10 / 100
New York City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New York City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

DC United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: New York City registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS New York City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
31 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
DC United
28 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
DC United
24 Oct
DC United
0 : 2
FC Cincinnati
21 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
DC United
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
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New York City

(Away)
31 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
CF Montreal
28 Oct
New York City
2 : 1
Atlanta United
24 Oct
Orlando City
2 : 2
New York City
17 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
Los Angeles FC
14 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)